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Smart Elsewhere #8 – Fantasy Baseball Crackerjacks

You probably have gathered by now that I am not here offer much player analysis, sleeper talk, or draft breakdowns.  There is so much great information out there that I couldn’t possibly keep up (I have my nose too far buried in spreadsheets to write much).

Yet I do realize that spreadsheets and projections and conceptual talk I focus on can only take you so far.  At the end of the day, in-depth analysis, player profiles, rankings breakdowns, and draft prep information is extremely important to your success.

I can’t offer this myself.

But I do work with Fantasy Baseball Crackerjacks and they provide A TON of this high quality information.

My Role at Fantasy Baseball Crackerjacks

I used the methods documented here on SFBB to develop the projections used at Fantasy Baseball Crackerjacks.  I even write the occasional player profile, analysis, and strategy piece.  I’m very proud to be a part of the work they do at the site.  We just released the positional rankings and projections this week (see links below) and the other writers at the site pour out tons of interesting content.

Thanks For Reading

Stay smart!

What Is The Ideal Spending Allocation Between Pitchers and Hitters?

What Is The Ideal Spending Allocation Between Pitchers and Hitters?

This topic came up recently and a number of well-respected fantasy experts discussed and debated the topic.  I’m not here to rehash what they said, but hopefully to offer some points I didn’t see made in the discussions.

If you want to catch up on exactly what has previously been said:

Before Twitter, we didn’t have this kind of access into theoretical discussions about fantasy baseball.  It’s great to see this kind of back-and-forth and hashing out of ideas from a knowledgeable and respected group of fantasy writers.  So what can I offer to this?

Cherry Picking

I will pull two specific tweets out of the discussion.  Let’s start with this one from Kreutzer:

A lot of explanations were thrown out to explain the popular 70-30 hitter allocation, but I think this makes the most sense. Kreutzer gives very specific figures in Part 1 of his explanation of this topic, and specifically mentions that the average return on investment for all hitters in expert leagues was 88% (or a loss of 12%). For pitchers the return was 32% (or a loss of 68%).  Keep this in mind.  We’ll come back to these figures later.

In Part 2 he discusses the concept of “free loot”, or valuable fantasy stats that were not drafted but find their way onto rosters in your league during the year.

Alright, I’m starting to understand the reason for hitters to be allocated more money.  Why try to buy pitching stats during the draft if value from pitchers is difficult to predict accurately and if I can just wait until the season starts to pick up valuable players on from the free agent pool anyways.

But Is 70-30 “Correct”? (more…)